Tropical Storm Narda Forecast Advisory Number 6

Sep 23, 2025 - 02:01
Tropical Storm Narda Forecast Advisory Number 6
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 23 2025
000
WTPZ24 KNHC 230241
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142025
0300 UTC TUE SEP 23 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 105.1W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 105.1W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 104.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.9N 106.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.8N 109.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.7N 111.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.6N 113.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.7N 116.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.1N 118.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 110SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 17.1N 122.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 18.7N 125.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 105.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)