Tropical Storm Narda Forecast Advisory Number 5

Sep 22, 2025 - 18:02
Tropical Storm Narda Forecast Advisory Number 5
Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 22 2025
000
WTPZ24 KNHC 222033
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142025
2100 UTC MON SEP 22 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 103.9W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 103.9W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 103.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.3N 105.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.3N 107.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.3N 110.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.2N 112.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.1N 115.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.2N 117.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 17.0N 122.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.5N 125.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 103.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI