Tropical Depression Amanda Forecast Discussion Number 19
Issued at 1100 PM HST Sat Jun 06 2026
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 070836 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression Amanda Discussion Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026 1100 PM HST Sat Jun 06 2026 Amanda remains a poorly organized tropical cyclone and is quickly on the path to becoming a post-tropical remnant low. Convection has remained sporadic and confined primarily to the western semicircle due to persistent east-southeasterly shear and dry mid-level air. An overnight scatterometer pass sampled winds up to 29 kt northwest of the center, which aligns with the latest subjective Dvorak estimates from TAFB and objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS. Based on these data, the initial intensity is held at 30 kt. Amanda is moving toward the south-southwest, or 210/3 kt. A low- to mid-level ridge centered north of the cyclone is expected to remain the primary steering influence through the next several days, resulting in a gradual turn toward the west-southwest through the day Sunday. The latest guidance remains tightly clustered, and the NHC forecast track is little changed from the previous advisory. Persistent east-southeasterly shear and dry mid-level air are expected to continue limiting organization, despite the warm SSTs along the track. Continued weakening is forecast, and Amanda is expected to degenerate into a post-tropical remnant low by Sunday night. The remnant circulation will likely persist for a few days before dissipating. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/0900Z 11.7N 135.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 07/1800Z 11.4N 135.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 08/0600Z 11.1N 136.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 08/1800Z 10.8N 137.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 09/0600Z 10.5N 138.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 09/1800Z 10.2N 139.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 10/0600Z 9.9N 141.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)
