Potential Tropical Cyclone One Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 16 2026
291
FONT11 KNHC 161456
PWSAT1
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012026
1500 UTC TUE JUN 16 2026
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GFAM 280N 910W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GFAM 280N 930W 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CAMERON LA 34 X 1( 1) 21(22) 3(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GALVESTON TX 34 X 10(10) 15(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
FREEPORT TX 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GFAM 280N 950W 34 1 30(31) 6(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
GFAM 280N 950W 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MATAGORDA TX 34 1 19(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
PORT O CONNOR 34 2 18(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
ROCKPORT TX 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFAM 270N 960W 34 4 17(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE 
