James Carville doubles down on viral prediction that Trump 'will resign next spring'

Jun 18, 2026 - 16:07
James Carville doubles down on viral prediction that Trump 'will resign next spring'

Longtime Democratic strategist James Carville doubled down on his controversial comments, insisting President Donald Trump "will resign next spring," on Wednesday. 

In a video for Politicon, Carville rejected claims that he was making the forecast to gain attention. 

"People said, ‘Oh, that’s very clever, you got a lot of pick-up. You know, you like to say kinda crazy a-- things,’" Carville said. "I want to be very clear on something. I’m not doing this as a crazy a-- prediction, I’m doing that because I genuinely think that he will resign next spring."

Carville pointed to Trump’s alleged health deterioration and increasing political pressures as key factors in his prediction.

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"Everybody around you is being subpoenaed for everything that you can imagine," Carville continued, seeming to address Trump directly. "Your life is miserable." 

He added that he believes Trump has been on the "decline" in his second term, and is no longer interested in governing

"You can look at him and just see how fat and unhealthy he is," Carville said.

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In another jab at the president, Carville compared Trump to Bill Clinton, insisting that any attempt to claw back popularity over a hypothetical midterms loss would be unfeasible. 

"He doesn’t have the stamina," Carville said. "Yeah, [Bill] Clinton came back, but Clinton — frankly, it was the greatest mismatch in maybe American political history — Bill Clinton versus Newt Gingrich. Well, guess what? Donald Trump is not the Bill Clinton of 1995." 

He concluded by suggesting Trump would request a pardon from would-be President JD Vance as he departs office.

"He’s going to JD Vance," Carville said. "His lawyers are going to say, ‘Look, you can stay, you can pardon yourself — there’s some uncertainty as to whether you can do that. There’s no uncertainty as to whether a President Vance can pardon you and your family,’" he said. "So I’m sticking with my prediction."

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The veteran political strategist’s original claims, made on Sunday’s episode of "Politics War Room," suggested Republicans are gearing up to oust Trump after the upcoming midterm elections. 

"Trump has no earthly idea of what's coming," Carville previously said. "They're not telling him. The vote against him in November is going to be, like, breathtaking."

"He's already bored," Carville added. "He can't stay awake. He says he's bored with the Iran war. He's — and I'm telling you, this guy by Easter of 2027 is just going to walk away from this job. Just gonna f---ing walk away because he doesn't have any idea of what it's going to be like when he comes to grips with the massive — I mean it's going to be massive rejection of him, anybody that has anything to do with him, anything that he has anything to do with."

In a statement to Fox News Digital, White House spokesperson Davis Ingle condemned Carville's prediction.

"James Carville is a stone-cold loser who suffers from a severe and incurable disease known as Trump Derangement Syndrome, and it has rotted his peanut-sized brain," Ingle said.  

In the fall of 2024, Carville wrote a New York Times op-ed predicting a Kamala Harris victory: "America, it will all be OK. Ms. Harris will be elected the next president of the United States. Of this, I am certain."